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Snow Drought…Yay or Nay?

February 1, 2020

If you’re a snow lover, so far this winter has been a snooze-fest in the Tri-State area. If you’re a winter weather hater, then you’re dancing around your dust collecting snowblower in the garage. I think there are many who fall on either side of that line. As we enter February, climatologically the last month of winter, I wanted to take a look back historically at winters past here. This might both lend hope to the starved snow lover and promise to the snow hater. Statistically things are starting to look like any shoveling the rest of the way will be at a minimum. However, as a great philosophical mind once said, “it ain’t over ’til it’s over”. Miss you Yogi.

As a young boy I became interested in weather when the city I grew up in and the streets of Queens became impassable due to a crippling snowstorm. It was February 1969, a year of many magical moments. The snowstorm was not expected to be as intense as it turned out and the city’s sanitation department(responsible for snow removal), was ill prepared. In retrospect the mayor of the city, John Lindsay, was held responsible for not being prepared. The storm became known as “The Lindsay Snowstorm”. Compared to other storms, the 15.3″ that fell Feb. 9-10, 1969 puts the storm at a not terribly impressive #17 for heaviest snowfalls in Central Park record keeping.

When I reviewed this chart, courtesy of the New York National Weather Service, I noticed something I suspected. Records have been kept for New York City since 1868. That’s 152 years of weather. Out of the top 10 biggest snowstorms, 7 of them occurred in my time at WNBC. The first, being my first weekend officially as part of the WNBC weather team, January 7-8, when 20.2″ paralyzed the city with many suburbs seeing 30″ and drifts up to 4 feet. To this day, even with bigger storms, I have never witnessed the city so reduced to a quiet beauty in the snow that blanketed the city streets.

Ahhhh, the good old days, but I reminisce. Since we started the new century, New York City has seen six of its biggest snowstorms since record keeping began. One storm struck the day after Christmas in 2010 dumping 20.0″ of powder on the city. In 2006 the number two heaviest snowfall occurred as we were buried in 26.9″. That storm created very narrow bands of extremely heavy snowfall rates, in some cases 3-5 inches per hour, along with thunder & lightening. The big Daddy of course was just 4 years ago, January 22-24, 2016 with 27.5″. There was some controversy over the measuring used in that storm, but this is not the forum to get into that.

Here’s a look at the annual snowfalls in NYC since records have been kept. This information courtesy of the National Weather Service for the New York City metropolitan area.

A few thing I want you to note in these stats. All of the following winter seasons had under 10″ of snow: 1877-78, 1900-01, 1918-19, 1931-32, 1972-73 (this was the all time record least snowfall with 2.8″, as a young snow lover myself this was a very sad winter for me), 1988-89, 1997-98, 2001-2002 ( another especially interesting snowless winter with only 3.5″, this was the winter as cleanup and recovery continued at the WTC site after the terrorist attacks on 9-11, perhaps the weather gods were lending a helping hand) and finally 2011-12.

This season to date in Central Park we have received 4.8″ of snow, more than 7″ below normal for this point into the winter.

On the high end of those stats above, ironically the snowiest winter was my first at WNBC, 1995-96 with 75.6″ of snow. Also the longest stretch of 30 inches or more of snow per season occurred in my time at WNBC from 2013 to 2018, 5 consecutive winters set an all time record.

So what are we looking at going forward? If I had to go out on a limb at this point, I would say it’s not likely we will see the pattern change dramatically and we start dealing with snowstorm after snowstorm. That being said, I would think a storm producing 6″ or more is still possible, especially from around the February 15 – March 15 window. Believe me, that’s not going out on any great limb.

Just to add one more point. While we know the planet is getting warmer climatologically, the impact on the details, such as how much snow we get each winter is still far from clear. Just because we have an exceptionally snowy or cold winter, it does not disprove the fact that the planet is still warming. That my friends will be for another time and topic.

If you’ve come this far, thank you. I hope you enjoyed the snow stats.

Once again…….sunshine always!!!

  • Mary February 1, 2020 at 6:20 pm

    Chris, we don’t have you to wake up to reporting the stirm, so I predict there will be no more. And that’s ok with me, no more snow, that is! ⛄️😝

  • Joanne Glassoff February 1, 2020 at 6:24 pm

    Found it all interesting and would be fine if we don’t see another flake of snow this winter.

  • Laura February 11, 2020 at 1:06 pm

    Oh, I would certainly appreciate a measurable amount of snow before the end of March. I so enjoy snow and I want to do some winter seeding before spring.

  • Giancarlo Mazzeo February 11, 2020 at 5:52 pm

    1996 was my favorite winter, I remembered it snowed every day .My Car was buried for about 2 weeks. the good old days. 30 years old and single living in my old neighborhood Howard Beach in a side apartment my father built , (god forbid a American/Italian born in Italy leaving the house , My Mom would not have it. enjoy life Chris and everyone have a great week.

  • About Me

    About Me

    Chris Cimino

    WELCOME BACK MY FRIENDS..... My name is Chris Cimino and I'm a TV meteorologist(WPIX NYC) and host, as well as blogger and podcaster(Bleav In Middle Age Warriors) for the last 30+ years. I started this blog about 4 years ago after having my contract not renewed by WNBC in NYC, of who I worked for 24 years. Nearly 21 of those years were as the early morning meteorologist for Today In New York, the newscast that preceded the Today Show. Over the years I had the privilege of filling in for Al Roker on the Today Show, as well as a two year run as the regular Saturday morning meteorologist for the Weekend Today Show. As of July 2019 I found myself unemployed for the first time since I was 19 years old. Suffice to say that was a little more than a couple of years ago. I’ve been through a lot in the last 4 years of my life. Most of it has been good. The path wasn't always easy and I often feel the burn of still trying to rise from the ashes of my past life. While not 100% on either, I've learned two big lessons in this process. To forgive myself and to trust myself more. Short sentences.....long processes. I hope you will rejoin me again on this journey through what I will call upper mid-life. If I can help or inspire one person along the way then this is all worth it. Thanks for getting this far..... if you did. Read More

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